ING’s Francesco Pesole forecast on October 22, 2026 that New Zealand’s central bank would raise rates by 25 basis points on October 28. The current official cash rate is 2.75%; the meeting decision has not been announced.
Energy and currency risks
ING sees higher energy costs and a weaker New Zealand dollar supporting action despite slower inflation. This is research opinion; subsequent policy depends on incoming data.
The next milestone
The central bank schedules its review for October 28 at 2 p.m. New Zealand time. A surprise could affect the currency and bonds, without guaranteeing their direction. Follow our central-bank coverage.
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